Passengers Demand on Railway Transport in Tanzania A Case of Dar es Salaam to Moshi – Arusha Route

This paper presents mathematical model on the effect of parameters on passenger demand on the train transport from Dar es Salaam to Moshi - Arusha Route. Methodology: Numerical simulations were used to demonstrate the impact of parameters on passenger demand. Findings: The results shows that increase of extra effort of selling tickets and availability of transport to the train station and from the train station to the passengers’ destinations S, ratio of change of passenger demand and change of train capacity r, number of coaches with service improvement Ca will increase passenger demand. Nevertheless, increasing number of coaches without service improvement Cp, the passenger demand decreased due to the poor service, that is train transport users who have a negative image of the agency will not consider train as the best means of transport. However, if passengers are not satisfied, will opt to other means of transport which will make passenger train transport run with loss in which operation cost like paying salary to staff members, fuel consumption, train services and other office expenses are fixed. The train is expected to be cheap to passengers and run with high profit. For example, during peak month November to February each year most people are moving from Dar es Salaam to Moshi- Arusha. The company can increase frequency, coaches and ticket seller to every corner of the city with cost of ticket buyer which was compromised by the company and make sure that they are taken to the stations with the cost of passenger like other western countries. Originality: This paper determines the best way regarding the causes of demand in train passenger transport. Passenger demand on train is associated with availability of tickets in bus stand like Magufuli Bus terminal, Kibaha stand and other stations like Gongo la Mboto, Pugu, Kigamboni, Buza, Mbagala, as well as having buses which carry passengers to the train station on time and also when the train arrive to the stations the passengers get the buses which will carry them to their destination either Arusha, Moshi, Tanga, Coast, Dar es Salaam regions or in the middle stations. Practical value: Implementing increase of extra effort of selling tickets and availability of transport to the train station and from the train station to the passengers’ destinations S and increase number of coaches with service improvement Ca will increase passenger demand and the train will run with profit.